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Geoscientific Model Development An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 10, issue 3
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 1091-1106, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean - NEMO

Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 1091-1106, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Model description paper 10 Mar 2017

Model description paper | 10 Mar 2017

Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution

Laurent Bessières et al.
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Barnier, B., Siefridt, L., and Marchesiello, P.: Thermal forcing for a global ocean circulation model using a three-year climatology of ECMWF analyses, J. Mar. Syst., 6, 363–380, https://doi.org/10.1016/0924-7963(94)00034-9, 1995.
Bertino, L., Evensen, G., and Wackernagel, H.: Sequential data assimilation techniques in oceanography, Int. Stat. Rev., 71, 223–241, 2003.
Brankart, J.-M.: Impact of uncertainties in the horizontal density gradient upon low resolution global ocean modelling, Ocean Model., 66, 64–76, 2013.
Brankart, J.-M., Testut, C.-E., Béal, D., Doron, M., Fontana, C., Meinvielle, M., Brasseur, P., and Verron, J.: Towards an improved description of ocean uncertainties: effect of local anamorphic transformations on spatial correlations, Ocean Sci., 8, 121–142, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-8-121-2012, 2012.
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A new, probabilistic version of an ocean modelling system has been implemented in order to simulate the chaotic and the atmospherically forced contributions to the ocean variability. For that purpose, a large ensemble of global hindcasts has been performed. Results illustrate the importance of the oceanic chaos on climate-related oceanic indices, and the relevance of such probabilistic ocean modelling approaches to anticipating the behaviour of the next generation of coupled climate models.
A new, probabilistic version of an ocean modelling system has been implemented in order to...
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