Bayesian earthquake dating and seismic hazard assessment using chlorine-36 measurements (BED v1)

Beck, Joakim; Wolfers, Sören; Roberts, Gerald P.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4383-2018

Articles | Volume 11, issue 11

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4383-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4383-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 11, issue 11

Development and technical paper

|

01 Nov 2018

Development and technical paper |

| 01 Nov 2018

Bayesian earthquake dating and seismic hazard assessment using chlorine-36 measurements (BED v1)

Joakim Beck, Sören Wolfers, and Gerald P. Roberts

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Final revised paper (published on 01 Nov 2018)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 24 May 2018)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

- Printer-friendly version

- Supplement

SC1: 'Comment', Silke Mechernich, 18 Jul 2018
- AC1: 'Author response to S. Mechernich', Joakim Beck, 21 Aug 2018
RC1: 'Comments on section 3', J. T. Rougier, 26 Jul 2018
- AC2: 'Author response to J.T. Rougier', Joakim Beck, 21 Aug 2018
RC2: 'Review of the manuscript: “Bayesian earthquake dating and seismic hazard assessment using chlorine-36 measurements (BED v1)” by Beck J. et alii', Bruno Pace, 27 Jul 2018
- AC3: 'Author response to B. Pace', Joakim Beck, 21 Aug 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Joakim Beck on behalf of the Authors (24 Aug 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 Aug 2018) by Thomas Poulet

RR by Bruno Pace (12 Sep 2018)

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (10 Oct 2018)

ED: Publish as is (10 Oct 2018) by Thomas Poulet

Short summary

Seismic hazard assessment requires records of earthquake recurrence with many slip events. Current data from paleoseismology on individual faults are sparse and do not provide stable estimates of earthquake recurrence. We propose a statistical model-based method to study timings of earthquakes over the past few millennia. The results agree with historical earthquakes for faults in the Italian Apennines, and can aid future studies of fault interactions over multiple earthquake cycles.