Articles | Volume 11, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-5135-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-5135-2018
Development and technical paper
 | 
14 Dec 2018
Development and technical paper |  | 14 Dec 2018

Weak-constraint inverse modeling using HYSPLIT-4 Lagrangian dispersion model and Cross-Appalachian Tracer Experiment (CAPTEX) observations – effect of including model uncertainties on source term estimation

Tianfeng Chai, Ariel Stein, and Fong Ngan

Related authors

Estimation of power plant SO2 emissions using the HYSPLIT dispersion model and airborne observations with plume rise ensemble runs
Tianfeng Chai, Xinrong Ren, Fong Ngan, Mark Cohen, and Alice Crawford
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 12907–12933, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-12907-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-12907-2023, 2023
Short summary
Evaluation and bias correction of probabilistic volcanic ash forecasts
Alice Crawford, Tianfeng Chai, Binyu Wang, Allison Ring, Barbara Stunder, Christopher P. Loughner, Michael Pavolonis, and Justin Sieglaff
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 13967–13996, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-13967-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-13967-2022, 2022
Short summary
Improving predictability of high-ozone episodes through dynamic boundary conditions, emission refresh and chemical data assimilation during the Long Island Sound Tropospheric Ozone Study (LISTOS) field campaign
Siqi Ma, Daniel Tong, Lok Lamsal, Julian Wang, Xuelei Zhang, Youhua Tang, Rick Saylor, Tianfeng Chai, Pius Lee, Patrick Campbell, Barry Baker, Shobha Kondragunta, Laura Judd, Timothy A. Berkoff, Scott J. Janz, and Ivanka Stajner
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 16531–16553, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-16531-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-16531-2021, 2021
Short summary
High-resolution hybrid inversion of IASI ammonia columns to constrain US ammonia emissions using the CMAQ adjoint model
Yilin Chen, Huizhong Shen, Jennifer Kaiser, Yongtao Hu, Shannon L. Capps, Shunliu Zhao, Amir Hakami, Jhih-Shyang Shih, Gertrude K. Pavur, Matthew D. Turner, Daven K. Henze, Jaroslav Resler, Athanasios Nenes, Sergey L. Napelenok, Jesse O. Bash, Kathleen M. Fahey, Gregory R. Carmichael, Tianfeng Chai, Lieven Clarisse, Pierre-François Coheur, Martin Van Damme, and Armistead G. Russell
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 2067–2082, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2067-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2067-2021, 2021
Short summary
Significant wintertime PM2.5 mitigation in the Yangtze River Delta, China, from 2016 to 2019: observational constraints on anthropogenic emission controls
Liqiang Wang, Shaocai Yu, Pengfei Li, Xue Chen, Zhen Li, Yibo Zhang, Mengying Li, Khalid Mehmood, Weiping Liu, Tianfeng Chai, Yannian Zhu, Daniel Rosenfeld, and John H. Seinfeld
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 14787–14800, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14787-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14787-2020, 2020
Short summary

Related subject area

Numerical methods
CHONK 1.0: landscape evolution framework: cellular automata meets graph theory
Boris Gailleton, Luca C. Malatesta, Guillaume Cordonnier, and Jean Braun
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 71–90, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-71-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-71-2024, 2024
Short summary
Perspectives of physics-based machine learning strategies for geoscientific applications governed by partial differential equations
Denise Degen, Daniel Caviedes Voullième, Susanne Buiter, Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen, Harry Vereecken, Ana González-Nicolás, and Florian Wellmann
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 7375–7409, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7375-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7375-2023, 2023
Short summary
Calibration of absorbing boundary layers for geoacoustic wave modeling in pseudo-spectral time-domain methods
Carlos Spa, Otilio Rojas, and Josep de la Puente
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 7237–7252, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7237-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7237-2023, 2023
Short summary
GeoINR 1.0: an implicit neural network approach to three-dimensional geological modelling
Michael Hillier, Florian Wellmann, Eric A. de Kemp, Boyan Brodaric, Ernst Schetselaar, and Karine Bédard
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 6987–7012, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6987-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6987-2023, 2023
Short summary
An automatic mesh generator for coupled 1D/2D hydrodynamic models
Younghun Kang and Ethan J. Kubatko
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1434,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1434, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

Achim, P., Monfort, M., Le Petit, G., Gross, P., Douysset, G., Taffary, T., Blanchard, X., and Moulin, C.: Analysis of Radionuclide Releases from the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant Accident Part II, Pure Appl. Geophys., 171, 645–667, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-012-0578-1, 2014. a
Angevine, W. M., Jiang, H., and Mauritsen, T.: Performance of an Eddy Diffusivity-Mass Flux Scheme for Shallow Cumulus Boundary Layers, Mon. Weather Rev., 138, 2895–2912, https://doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3142.1, 2010. a
Bieringer, P. E., Young, G. S., Rodriguez, L. M., Annunzio, A. J., Vandenberghe, F., and Haupt, S. E.: Paradigms and commonalities in atmospheric source term estimation methods, Atmos. Environ., 156, 102–112, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.02.011, 2017. a
Bocquet, M.: Reconstruction of an atmospheric tracer source using the principle of maximum entropy. II: Applications, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 2209–2223, https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.04.68, 2005. a
Bocquet, M.: High-resolution reconstruction of a tracer dispersion event: application to ETEX, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 1013–1026, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.64, 2007. a
Download
Short summary
While model predictions depend on release parameters, model uncertainties in inverse modeling should also vary with the source terms. In this paper, model uncertainties that will change with the source terms are introduced in a weak-constraint inverse modeling system. Tests using HYSPLIT model and CAPTEX observations show that adding such model uncertainty terms improves release rate estimates. A cost function normalization scheme introduced to avoid spurious solutions proves to be effective.