Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model evaluation paper
| 
04 Mar 2020
Model evaluation paper |
| 04 Mar 2020
| 04 Mar 2020
Uncertainties in climate change projections covered by the ISIMIP and CORDEX model subsets from CMIP5
Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency,
Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
Hideo Shiogama
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, 305-0053, Japan
Tosiyuki Nakaegawa
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency,
Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
Izuru Takayabu
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency,
Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan
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Latest update: 18 Apr 2024
Short summary
The model performance and the coverage of the uncertainty in the climate changes were investigated for the ensembles of CMIP5 models used in ISIMIP2b and CORDEX programs. We found both programs selected models that acceptably reproduced the historical climate. Also, the global common ensemble (ISIMIP2b) has difficulty in capturing the uncertainty in two variables at the regional scale, whereas the region-specific ensemble (CORDEX) overcomes the difficulty by applying a properly large ensemble.
The model performance and the coverage of the uncertainty in the climate changes were...
